Jönköpings Södra 1-3 Ljungskile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
20%
2.94
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.3pp
20%
Draw
30%
-10.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jönköpings Södra EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 36%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.31/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.66
-16% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jönköpings Södra
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ljungskile
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.06.2025 Ljungskile Ljungskile 2-0 HT 1-0 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ3
05.10.2024 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra 0-1 HT 0-1 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
19.05.2024 Ljungskile Ljungskile 2-2 HT 1-0 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ3
21.11.2020 Ljungskile Ljungskile 0-1 HT 0-1 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ2
23.06.2020 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra 2-1 HT 0-1 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ2
21.07.2015 Ljungskile Ljungskile 1-2 HT 0-2 Jönköpings Södra Jönköpings Södra İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jönköpings Södra
1-3
AWAY Ljungskile
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jönköpings Södra vs Ljungskile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ljungskile got the better of Jönköpings Södra 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Jönköpings Södra at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jönköpings Södra had 53% of the ball to Ljungskile's 47%, shots finished 12-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jönköpings Södra had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jönköpings Södra and 1.17 for Ljungskile.

What was the final score of Jönköpings Södra vs Ljungskile?

Jönköpings Södra 1-3 Ljungskile in the Sweden - 1st Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jönköpings Södra vs Ljungskile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jönköpings Södra win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Jönköpings Södra 44%, draw 20%, Ljungskile 36%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jönköpings Södra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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