Ourense CF 1-3 Real Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
35%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
41%
Away Win
36%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ourense CF EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid II EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
0.99/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.23
-16% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ourense CF
1-3
AWAY Real Madrid II
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ourense CF vs Real Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid II saw off Ourense CF 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ourense CF had 42% of the ball to Real Madrid II's 58%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Ourense CF vs Real Madrid II?

Ourense CF 1-3 Real Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ourense CF vs Real Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ourense CF 31%, draw 28%, Real Madrid II 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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