Napoli (K) 1-3 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
24%
4.81
Away Pick
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
43%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
28%
X/X
15%
2/1
2%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli (K) The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) The Market 75%
Strong Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
Strong Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Bad
0.79 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.56
1.51 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 0.89
Bad Attackvs comparable teams Average
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Bad
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
14.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
10.6 Crosses 20.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli (K)
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Roma (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.51 xG 2.15
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 23
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10
121 Passes 586
58% Pass Accuracy 88%
6 Box Touches 36
6 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.12.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 1-2 HT 1-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
29.09.2024 Roma (K) Roma (K) 3-1 HT 3-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
10.02.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKSA
16.01.2024 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma (K) Roma (K) İTKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli (K)
1-3
AWAY Roma (K)
0.71 xG 1.05
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
245 Passes 364
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Napoli (K) vs Roma (K)
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Roma (K) had too much for Napoli (K) 3-1 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roma (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.82, roughly 55%.

Under the surface, Napoli (K) had 43% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 57%, shots finished 7-15, expected goals 0.71 to 1.05.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Roma (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Napoli (K) and 1.50 for Roma (K).

Napoli (K) vs Roma (K) Result & Final Score

Napoli (K) 1-3 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli (K) vs Roma (K) Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Napoli (K) 16%, draw 24%, Roma (K) 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma (K)), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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