Union Berlin (K) 5-0 RB Leipzig (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 19 Oct 2025

Union Berlin (K)
5-0 HT 2-0
RB Leipzig (K)
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Union Berlin (K) vs RB Leipzig (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Berlin (K) v RB Leipzig (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
– Crosses 10.7
– Yellow Cards 2.6

Union Berlin (K) 5-0 RB Leipzig (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin (K)
5-0
AWAY RB Leipzig (K)
2.89 xG 1.39
39% Ball Possession 61%
20 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 11
242 Passes 377
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 33
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Berlin (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin (K) ran out comfortable winners over RB Leipzig (K) 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Berlin (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Union Berlin (K) had 39% of the ball to RB Leipzig (K)'s 61%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.89 to 1.39.

What was the final score of Union Berlin (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Union Berlin (K) 5-0 RB Leipzig (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin (K) vs RB Leipzig (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin (K) 45%, draw 24%, RB Leipzig (K) 31%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Berlin (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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