Neftçi PFK 2-2 Araz Nahçıvan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
37%
3.28
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.64
Over 2.5
33%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
22%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.2pp
38%
Draw
28%
+10.0pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
67%
Under 2.5
57%
+9.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
43%
-9.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.58/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.17
+7% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftçi PFK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Araz Nahçıvan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.03.2025 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 1-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
26.01.2025 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 2-1 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
01.11.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-1 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
24.08.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
13.04.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-0 HT 2-0 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan AZERS
13.02.2024 Araz Nahçıvan Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK and Araz Nahçıvan shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 38% / 22% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Araz Nahçıvan led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Neftçi PFK and 1.00 for Araz Nahçıvan.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Neftçi PFK 2-2 Araz Nahçıvan in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Araz Nahçıvan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 41%, draw 38%, Araz Nahçıvan 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
19 Oct 2025
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