Nouadhibou 1-1 Stade Malien Bamako — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Champions League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nouadhibou EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Malien Bamako EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Nouadhibou vs Stade Malien Bamako
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nouadhibou and Stade Malien Bamako couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nouadhibou at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Nouadhibou vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Nouadhibou 1-1 Stade Malien Bamako in the CAF Champions League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nouadhibou vs Stade Malien Bamako?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nouadhibou win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Nouadhibou 49%, draw 28%, Stade Malien Bamako 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nouadhibou), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nouadhibou) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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