Kaposvari Rakoczi 2-3 Penzügyör — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB III, 19 Oct 2025

Kaposvari Rakoczi
2-3 HT 2-1
Penzügyör
📅19/10/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Hungary - NB III – 2025/2026

Kaposvari Rakoczi vs Penzügyör Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
23%
X/2
3%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.2pp
17%
Draw
10%
+6.8pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kaposvari Rakoczi v Penzügyör — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaposvari Rakoczi EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Penzügyör EU Bookmakers 9%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+3% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +150%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
424 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Kaposvari Rakoczi vs Penzügyör
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penzügyör squeezed past Kaposvari Rakoczi 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Kaposvari Rakoczi carried 68% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Kaposvari Rakoczi vs Penzügyör?

Kaposvari Rakoczi 2-3 Penzügyör in the Hungary - NB III on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaposvari Rakoczi vs Penzügyör?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaposvari Rakoczi win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Kaposvari Rakoczi 68%, draw 17%, Penzügyör 14%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kaposvari Rakoczi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kaposvari Rakoczi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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