Nafta vs Ilirija Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nafta v Ilirija — Team-Based Signals
Nafta vs Ilirija Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Nafta
SLVN2
2-0
HT 0-0
Ilirija
SLVN2
2-0
HT 0-0
Nafta
SLVN2
3-0
HT 1-0
Ilirija
SLVN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Nafta
SLVN2
Nafta 2-1 Ilirija — Actual Match Statistics
Nafta edged past Ilirija 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nafta as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Nafta had 46% of the ball to Ilirija's 54%, shots finished 8-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ilirija led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Nafta and 1.00 for Ilirija.
What was the final score of Nafta vs Ilirija?
Nafta 2-1 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nafta vs Ilirija?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nafta win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Nafta 70%, draw 19%, Ilirija 11%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nafta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.