Neom SC 1-3 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.25
6+ Goals
13%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.32 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
37%
Away Win
45%
-8.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neom SC EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
Crosses 13.0
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neom SC
1-3
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.15 xG 2.02
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
428 Passes 303
92% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neom SC vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah beat Neom SC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al-Qadsiah found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Neom SC had 57% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 43%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.15 to 2.02.

What was the final score of Neom SC vs Al-Qadsiah?

Neom SC 1-3 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neom SC vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Neom SC 36%, draw 28%, Al-Qadsiah 37%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
19 Oct 2025
17:45 Al Khaleej vs Al Riyadh Analysis →
18:10 Al Taawon vs Damac FC Analysis →