Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Bodrum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2025

📅19/10/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
42%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.37
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
5%
13.05
X/1
13%
6.52
X/2
19%
5.29
X/X
13%
5.0
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
16%
3.17
2/X
5%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.7pp
42%
Away Win
41%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.49/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.86
+36% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.0 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1-1
AWAY Bodrum FK
0.70 xG 0.30
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
375 Passes 260
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Bodrum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor and Bodrum FK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bodrum FK at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 57% of the ball to Bodrum FK's 43%, shots finished 5-7, expected goals 0.70 to 0.30.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Bodrum FK?

Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Bodrum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Bodrum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 34%, draw 24%, Bodrum FK 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bodrum FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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