AFC Bournemouth U21 4-1 Watford U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 19 Nov 2024

📅19/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
3.68
Over 2.5
74%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.31
No
34%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
21%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
28%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
26%
Under 2.5
24%
+2.0pp
74%
Over 2.5
76%
-2.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.7pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.79/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/1.25
+44% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +55%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
409 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Bournemouth U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Watford U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
20.02.2024 Watford U21 Watford U21 2-2 HT 0-2 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 INGPDL
30.11.2023 AFC Bournemouth U21 AFC Bournemouth U21 2-1 HT 0-1 Watford U21 Watford U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Watford U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Bournemouth U21 swept aside Watford U21 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Bournemouth U21 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Bournemouth U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for AFC Bournemouth U21 and 1.50 for Watford U21.

What was the final score of AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Watford U21?

AFC Bournemouth U21 4-1 Watford U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 19/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Watford U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Bournemouth U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AFC Bournemouth U21 51%, draw 23%, Watford U21 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Bournemouth U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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