APS Bomet 0-1 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 19 Nov 2025

📅19/11/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.41
Over 2.5
38%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.6pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+7.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
67%
-5.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
33%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME APS Bomet EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 34%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
0.51/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.19
-46% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
POST-MATCH APS Bomet vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulinzi Stars nicked a narrow win over APS Bomet 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ulinzi Stars found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of APS Bomet vs Ulinzi Stars?

APS Bomet 0-1 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 19/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for APS Bomet vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulinzi Stars win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split APS Bomet 33%, draw 28%, Ulinzi Stars 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulinzi Stars), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ulinzi Stars) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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