Cardiff City U21 3-1 Watford U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League Cup, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-11.8pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.3pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Watford U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City U21
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Watford U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
17.10.2024 Watford U21 Watford U21 0-2 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 İNPLK
08.01.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 0-0 HT 0-0 Watford U21 Watford U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Watford U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 beat Watford U21 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cardiff City U21 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cardiff City U21 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cardiff City U21 and 0.00 for Watford U21.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Watford U21?

Cardiff City U21 3-1 Watford U21 in the England - Premier League Cup on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Watford U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 44%, draw 25%, Watford U21 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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