Kheybar Khorramabad 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 19 Dec 2024

📅19/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
41%
2.83
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.87
2-3 Goals
33%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
6.48
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
25%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.3pp
41%
Draw
32%
+8.9pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.3pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.3pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.2pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 38%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +23%
0.67/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.60
-28% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kheybar Khorramabad
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Esteghlal Khuzestan
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
26.10.2024 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 3-1 HT 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRAN
25.02.2023 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRANAZ
28.09.2022 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 1-1 HT 0-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRANAZ
05.03.2022 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan 0-0 HT 0-0 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad IRANAZ
31.10.2021 Kheybar Khorramabad Kheybar Khorramabad 2-1 HT 1-1 Esteghlal Khuzestan Esteghlal Khuzestan IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kheybar Khorramabad edged past Esteghlal Khuzestan 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kheybar Khorramabad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Kheybar Khorramabad and 0.60 for Esteghlal Khuzestan.

What was the final score of Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Kheybar Khorramabad 1-0 Esteghlal Khuzestan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kheybar Khorramabad vs Esteghlal Khuzestan?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kheybar Khorramabad 26%, draw 41%, Esteghlal Khuzestan 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRAN More Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League
19 Dec 2024
16:15 Foolad Khuzestan vs Chadormalu SC Analysis →