19/12/2024
·
00:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
0-0
Afumati vs FC Arges Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
22%
37%
Draw
26%
42%
Away Win
52%
71%
Under 2.5
56%
29%
Over 2.5
44%
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
54%
BTTS No
54%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Afumati v FC Arges — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Afumati
EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY
FC Arges
EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-11% /
-11%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
9
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
230 · 70%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
392 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Afumati 2-0 FC Arges — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Afumati
2-0
AWAY
FC Arges
39%
Ball Possession
61%
8
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
2
2
Corners
8
POST-MATCH
Afumati vs FC Arges
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Afumati saw off FC Arges 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 21% / 37% / 42% — and on the day Afumati made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (71%) came in.
On the day, Afumati had 39% of the ball to FC Arges's 61%, shots finished 8-12.
What was the final score of Afumati vs FC Arges?
Afumati 2-0 FC Arges in the Romania Cup on 19/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Afumati vs FC Arges?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Arges win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Afumati 21%, draw 37%, FC Arges 42%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Arges) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (FC Arges)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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19 Dec 2024