Merida AD 2-3 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Dec 2025

Merida AD
2-3 HT 2-2
Athletic Bilbao II
📅19/12/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division B – 2025/2026

Merida AD vs Athletic Bilbao II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
4.08
6+ Goals
10%
20.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
43%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.5pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Merida AD v Athletic Bilbao II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Merida AD EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.57/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.47
+16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
200 · 61% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 210 · 63%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Merida AD 2-3 Athletic Bilbao II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Merida AD
2-3
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Merida AD vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II squeezed past Merida AD 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Merida AD at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Merida AD had 52% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 48%, shots finished 15-14.

What was the final score of Merida AD vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Merida AD 2-3 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Merida AD vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Merida AD win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Merida AD 47%, draw 24%, Athletic Bilbao II 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Merida AD) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Merida AD) ✓ BTTS Yes
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