Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Sarıyer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 19 Dec 2025

Esenler Erokspor
1-1 HT 0-1
Sarıyer
📅19/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.03
Over 2.5
58%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
13%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.26
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
21%
4.4
X/2
9%
9.25
X/X
8%
5.5
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.25
2/2
8%
7.05
2/X
6%
15.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
54%
+4.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-4.0pp
22%
Away Win
22%
-0.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
45%
-3.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
55%
+3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Esenler Erokspor v Sarıyer — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 25%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.95/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/1.26
+94% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
335 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
16.8 Crosses 18.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Sarıyer — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1-1
AWAY Sarıyer
0.89 xG 0.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
416 Passes 422
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
8 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor and Sarıyer couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Esenler Erokspor carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 50% of the ball to Sarıyer's 50%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.89 to 0.84.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?

Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Sarıyer in the Turkey - 1st Division on 19/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Sarıyer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 58%, draw 21%, Sarıyer 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Esenler Erokspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →