Stenhousemuir 1-0 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 20 Jan 2024

Stenhousemuir
1-0 HT 1-0
Stranraer
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.95
Over 2.5
60%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.09
No
46%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.5
6+ Goals
13%
13.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.5 — our 26% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.76
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
19.6
X/1
13%
3.37
X/2
8%
13.75
X/X
11%
5.81
2/1
7%
24.3
2/2
8%
11.75
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
20.55
Value flag · 2/X at 20.55 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-11.9pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
44%
+10.0pp
46%
BTTS No
56%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stenhousemuir v Stranraer — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stenhousemuir EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 16%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.61/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.09
-23% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stenhousemuir
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Stranraer
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 0-3 HT 0-2 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
16.09.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 5-0 HT 2-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
29.04.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 2-0 HT 1-0 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
07.01.2023 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 2-1 HT 2-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
12.11.2022 Stranraer Stranraer 3-2 HT 2-1 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir İK2
03.09.2022 Stenhousemuir Stenhousemuir 3-1 HT 3-0 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
POST-MATCH Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stenhousemuir squeezed past Stranraer 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stenhousemuir as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stenhousemuir had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Stenhousemuir and 1.17 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer?

Stenhousemuir 1-0 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stenhousemuir win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Stenhousemuir 54%, draw 25%, Stranraer 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stenhousemuir) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stenhousemuir) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
20 Jan 2024
18:00 East Fife vs Peterhead Analysis →