Atalanta U19 1-0 Milan U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.8
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
32%
+12.5pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-8.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.4pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U19 EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
-32% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
POST-MATCH Atalanta U19 vs Milan U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta U19 nicked a narrow win over Milan U19 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atalanta U19 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Atalanta U19 vs Milan U19?

Atalanta U19 1-0 Milan U19 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta U19 vs Milan U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atalanta U19 44%, draw 20%, Milan U19 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta U19), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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