20/01/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Chions vs Portosummaga Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
42%
4-5
25%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
40%
Home Win
41%
27%
Draw
24%
34%
Away Win
35%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chions v Portosummaga — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chions
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Portosummaga
The Market 39%
-30% /
-30%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+29% /
+29%
1.00/2.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.01/0.50
-17%
/
-46%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+92%
/
+138%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
364 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
287 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chions vs Portosummaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chions edged past Portosummaga 1-0.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Chions found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
What was the final score of Chions vs Portosummaga?
Chions 1-0 Portosummaga in the Italy - Serie D on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chions vs Portosummaga?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chions win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chions 40%, draw 27%, Portosummaga 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chions), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chions)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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