Inter Milano (K) 2-0 Roma (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 20 Jan 2024

Inter Milano (K)
2-0 HT 1-0
Roma (K)
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2023/2024

Inter Milano (K) vs Roma (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.35
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
61%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
12%
+3.7pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.9pp
61%
Away Win
70%
-8.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Milano (K) v Roma (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Milano (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Inter Milano (K) 2-0 Roma (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Milano (K)
2-0
AWAY Roma (K)
0.76 xG 1.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 12
262 Passes 315
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
14 Box Touches 39
7 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inter Milano (K) vs Roma (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Milano (K) got the better of Roma (K) 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Roma (K) at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Inter Milano (K) had 45% of the ball to Roma (K)'s 55%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 0.76 to 1.14.

What was the final score of Inter Milano (K) vs Roma (K)?

Inter Milano (K) 2-0 Roma (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Milano (K) vs Roma (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roma (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Inter Milano (K) 16%, draw 23%, Roma (K) 61%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Roma (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Roma (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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