Sevilla (K) 3-1 Villarreal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.45
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
33%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
64%
-30.8pp
33%
Draw
20%
+13.0pp
33%
Away Win
16%
+17.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sevilla (K) EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sevilla (K)
3-1
AWAY Villarreal (K)
0.86 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
240 Passes 320
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 24
23 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Sevilla (K) vs Villarreal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sevilla (K) got the better of Villarreal (K) 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sevilla (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sevilla (K) had 46% of the ball to Villarreal (K)'s 54%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.86 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Sevilla (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Sevilla (K) 3-1 Villarreal (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sevilla (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sevilla (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Sevilla (K) 33%, draw 33%, Villarreal (K) 33%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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