Erzeni Shijak 0-1 Vllaznia Shkoder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Albania - Süperlig, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over Pick
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzeni Shijak The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Vllaznia Shkoder The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -50%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
379 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzeni Shijak
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Vllaznia Shkoder
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
5 Corners 3
01.09.2023 Erzeni Shijak Erzeni Shijak 2-2 HT 1-1 Vllaznia Shkoder Vllaznia Shkoder ARNV
POST-MATCH Erzeni Shijak vs Vllaznia Shkoder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vllaznia Shkoder edged past Erzeni Shijak 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Erzeni Shijak at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Erzeni Shijak vs Vllaznia Shkoder?

Erzeni Shijak 0-1 Vllaznia Shkoder in the Albania - Süperlig on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzeni Shijak vs Vllaznia Shkoder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzeni Shijak win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Erzeni Shijak 46%, draw 24%, Vllaznia Shkoder 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Erzeni Shijak) ✗ Over 2.5
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