Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 Perth Glory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 20 Jan 2024

Western Sydney Wanderers
1-2 HT 0-1
Perth Glory
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.96
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.44
2-3 Goals
36%
2.11
4-5 Goals
31%
2.46
6+ Goals
11%
5.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.74
1/2
4%
52.0
1/X
7%
16.4
X/1
23%
3.98
X/2
4%
12.95
X/X
11%
7.62
2/1
7%
18.65
2/2
11%
8.43
2/X
4%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
63%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+0.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.9pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western Sydney Wanderers v Perth Glory — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -12%
1.43/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.07
-34% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
441 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 79%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.9 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.57 xG 0.74
59% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
465 Passes 312
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
10.03.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.01.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
09.10.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
30.04.2022 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
02.02.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS

Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 Perth Glory — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Sydney Wanderers
1-2
AWAY Perth Glory
1.11 xG 2.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 6
510 Passes 173
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Perth Glory edged past Western Sydney Wanderers 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Western Sydney Wanderers at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Western Sydney Wanderers had 69% of the ball to Perth Glory's 31%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.11 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Western Sydney Wanderers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Western Sydney Wanderers and 0.50 for Perth Glory.

What was the final score of Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory?

Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 Perth Glory in the Australia - A-League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Sydney Wanderers vs Perth Glory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Sydney Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Western Sydney Wanderers 59%, draw 23%, Perth Glory 18%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Sydney Wanderers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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