Murici 2-1 CSE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Alagoano, 20 Jan 2024

Murici
2-1 HT 1-1
CSE
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Brazil - Alagoano – 2024

Murici vs CSE Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Murici v CSE — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Murici EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY CSE EU Bookmakers 25%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.31
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
388 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.2

Murici vs CSE Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Murici
1W-1D-1L
AWAY CSE
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.02.2023 CSE CSE 1-1 HT 1-1 Murici Murici BRALA
12.02.2022 Murici Murici 1-0 HT 1-0 CSE CSE BRALA
29.04.2021 CSE CSE 2-0 HT 1-0 Murici Murici BRALA

Murici 2-1 CSE — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Murici
2-1
AWAY CSE
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Murici vs CSE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Murici edged past CSE 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Murici as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Murici had 52% of the ball to CSE's 48%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Murici and 1.00 for CSE.

What was the final score of Murici vs CSE?

Murici 2-1 CSE in the Brazil - Alagoano on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Murici vs CSE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Murici win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Murici 52%, draw 21%, CSE 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Murici), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Murici) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →