Nacional AM 2-2 Sao Raimundo AM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Amazonense, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
Over
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
39%
4-5
20%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
34%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional AM The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sao Raimundo AM The Market 22%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.54/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.51/1.98
+26% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -35%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional AM
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sao Raimundo AM
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
13.02.2022 Sao Raimundo AM Sao Raimundo AM 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional AM Nacional AM BRAMAZ
07.03.2021 Nacional AM Nacional AM 3-2 HT 2-1 Sao Raimundo AM Sao Raimundo AM BRAMAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional AM
2-2
AWAY Sao Raimundo AM
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Nacional AM vs Sao Raimundo AM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional AM and Sao Raimundo AM shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional AM at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional AM had 49% of the ball to Sao Raimundo AM's 51%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nacional AM had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nacional AM and 1.00 for Sao Raimundo AM.

What was the final score of Nacional AM vs Sao Raimundo AM?

Nacional AM 2-2 Sao Raimundo AM in the Brazil - Amazonense on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional AM vs Sao Raimundo AM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional AM win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nacional AM 53%, draw 23%, Sao Raimundo AM 25%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nacional AM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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