Madureira 1-0 Audax Rio De Janeiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Carioca 1, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
28%
-6.5pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madureira EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Audax Rio De Janeiro EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.90/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.82
-39% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madureira
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Audax Rio De Janeiro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2023 Audax Rio De Janeiro Audax Rio De Janeiro 3-1 HT 2-1 Madureira Madureira BRC1
06.03.2022 Madureira Madureira 1-3 HT 0-0 Audax Rio De Janeiro Audax Rio De Janeiro BRC1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madureira
1-0
AWAY Audax Rio De Janeiro
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Madureira vs Audax Rio De Janeiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Madureira edged past Audax Rio De Janeiro 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Madureira found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Madureira had 56% of the ball to Audax Rio De Janeiro's 44%, shots finished 22-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Audax Rio De Janeiro led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Madureira and 3.00 for Audax Rio De Janeiro.

What was the final score of Madureira vs Audax Rio De Janeiro?

Madureira 1-0 Audax Rio De Janeiro in the Brazil - Carioca 1 on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madureira vs Audax Rio De Janeiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madureira win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Madureira 39%, draw 22%, Audax Rio De Janeiro 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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