Pombal 2-1 Campinense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paraibano, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
19%
3.35
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
45%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
19%
Draw
27%
-7.5pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pombal The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Campinense The Market 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +53%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
428 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pombal
2-1
AWAY Campinense
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Pombal vs Campinense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pombal edged past Campinense 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 19% / 41% — and on the day Pombal made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Pombal had 47% of the ball to Campinense's 53%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Pombal vs Campinense?

Pombal 2-1 Campinense in the Brazil - Paraibano on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pombal vs Campinense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Campinense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pombal 40%, draw 19%, Campinense 41%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Campinense) ✗ BTTS No
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