Altos 0-3 River AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Piauiense, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
52%
4-5
15%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
54%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altos The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY River AC The Market 26%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.69/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.03
-53% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altos
3W-1D-1L
AWAY River AC
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
24.02.2023 Altos Altos 3-1 HT 1-1 River AC River AC BRPI
24.02.2022 Altos Altos 1-0 HT 0-0 River AC River AC BRPI
27.01.2022 River AC River AC 2-0 HT 0-0 Altos Altos BRPI
12.05.2021 River AC River AC 0-3 HT 0-1 Altos Altos BRPI
07.04.2021 Altos Altos 0-0 HT 0-0 River AC River AC BRPI
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altos
0-3
AWAY River AC
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Altos vs River AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River AC swept aside Altos 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Altos at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Altos had 48% of the ball to River AC's 52%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Altos had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Altos and 0.60 for River AC.

What was the final score of Altos vs River AC?

Altos 0-3 River AC in the Brazil - Piauiense on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altos vs River AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altos win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Altos 47%, draw 25%, River AC 28%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Altos), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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