Ekvador U23 vs Kolombiya U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ekvador U23 v Kolombiya U23 — Team-Based Signals
Ekvador U23 3-0 Kolombiya U23 — Actual Match Statistics
Ekvador U23 ran out comfortable winners over Kolombiya U23 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Kolombiya U23 at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Ekvador U23 had 50% of the ball to Kolombiya U23's 50%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 2.79 to 0.32.
What was the final score of Ekvador U23 vs Kolombiya U23?
Ekvador U23 3-0 Kolombiya U23 in the CONMEBOL - Olympic Qualifiers on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ekvador U23 vs Kolombiya U23?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kolombiya U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Ekvador U23 24%, draw 21%, Kolombiya U23 55%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Kolombiya U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.