20/01/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Kolea vs WA Mostaganem Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
30%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
76%
24%
Draw
15%
18%
Away Win
10%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kolea v WA Mostaganem — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Kolea
EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY
WA Mostaganem
EU Bookmakers 12%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
59%
Ball Possession
41%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
3
467 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
245 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Kolea vs WA Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Kolea cruised past WA Mostaganem 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kolea as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Kolea vs WA Mostaganem?
Kolea 4-1 WA Mostaganem in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kolea vs WA Mostaganem?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kolea win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Kolea 58%, draw 24%, WA Mostaganem 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kolea) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Kolea)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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20 Jan 2024