Plabennec 5-3 Stade Pontivy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - National League 3, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
40%
4-5
27%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plabennec The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Pontivy The Market 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plabennec
5-3
AWAY Stade Pontivy
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Plabennec vs Stade Pontivy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plabennec got the better of Stade Pontivy 5-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Plabennec as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Plabennec had 52% of the ball to Stade Pontivy's 48%, shots finished 10-10.

What was the final score of Plabennec vs Stade Pontivy?

Plabennec 5-3 Stade Pontivy in the France - National League 3 on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plabennec vs Stade Pontivy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plabennec win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Plabennec 42%, draw 24%, Stade Pontivy 34%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plabennec), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Plabennec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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