20/01/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Sable FC vs Le Poire-Sur-Vie Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
48%
4-5
20%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Sable FC win — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
54%
Home Win
56%
19%
Draw
24%
27%
Away Win
20%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sable FC v Le Poire-Sur-Vie — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sable FC
The Market 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
Le Poire-Sur-Vie
The Market 23%
-17% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+73% /
+73%
1.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.00/1.00
-41%
/
+24%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+128%
/
+62%
61%
Ball Possession
39%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
445 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
259 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sable FC vs Le Poire-Sur-Vie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Le Poire-Sur-Vie beat Sable FC 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Sable FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Sable FC vs Le Poire-Sur-Vie?
Sable FC 0-2 Le Poire-Sur-Vie in the France - National League 3 on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sable FC vs Le Poire-Sur-Vie?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sable FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sable FC 54%, draw 19%, Le Poire-Sur-Vie 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sable FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sable FC)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
20 Jan 2024