20/01/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
0-3
USSA Vertou vs La Chataigneraie Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over Pick
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
33%
4-5
31%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
26%
23%
Draw
25%
38%
Away Win
50%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
USSA Vertou v La Chataigneraie — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
USSA Vertou
The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY
La Chataigneraie
The Market 54%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
39%
Ball Possession
61%
11
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
5
265 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
483 · 84%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
USSA Vertou vs La Chataigneraie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
USSA Vertou saw off La Chataigneraie 2-0.
Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; USSA Vertou found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of USSA Vertou vs La Chataigneraie?
USSA Vertou 2-0 La Chataigneraie in the France - National League 3 on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for USSA Vertou vs La Chataigneraie?
Before kick-off our model rated a USSA Vertou win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split USSA Vertou 39%, draw 23%, La Chataigneraie 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USSA Vertou) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (USSA Vertou)
✗ Over 2.5
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
20 Jan 2024