20/01/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
0-1
Falcons FC vs BST Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
44%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
57%
Home Win
56%
15%
Draw
23%
28%
Away Win
20%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Falcons FC v BST Galaxy — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Falcons FC
The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
BST Galaxy
The Market 24%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+11% /
+11%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+33%
/
+24%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
16
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
409 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
264 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Falcons FC vs BST Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Falcons FC saw off BST Galaxy 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Falcons FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Falcons FC vs BST Galaxy?
Falcons FC 2-0 BST Galaxy in the Gambiya - GFA League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Falcons FC vs BST Galaxy?
Before kick-off our model rated a Falcons FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Falcons FC 57%, draw 15%, BST Galaxy 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falcons FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Falcons FC)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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