Antigua GFC 2-0 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.5pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.7pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +21%
2.12/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.78
+23% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Achuapa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 3-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
30.07.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
30.03.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
02.02.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 6-1 HT 3-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
05.12.2022 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
02.12.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 1-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua GFC
2-0
AWAY Achuapa
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Antigua GFC got the better of Achuapa 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Antigua GFC as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Antigua GFC had 62% of the ball to Achuapa's 38%, shots finished 14-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Antigua GFC and 0.83 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?

Antigua GFC 2-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 46%, draw 32%, Achuapa 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Antigua GFC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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