FC Lahti 1-0 Haka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
18%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
18%
Away Win
18%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Haka EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
428 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Haka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.69 xG 1.19
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
402 Passes 225
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Haka Haka 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
30.07.2023 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
11.06.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-0 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
11.09.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-1 HT 0-0 Haka Haka FİN
28.05.2022 Haka Haka 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
23.02.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-1 Haka Haka FLK
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs Haka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti edged past Haka 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haka led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FC Lahti and 1.17 for Haka.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs Haka?

FC Lahti 1-0 Haka in the Friendlies on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs Haka?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 57%, draw 25%, Haka 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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