20/01/2024
·
11:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Jamshedpur vs Shillong Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23
— our 27% vs market 17.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
28%
Draw
23%
23%
Away Win
20%
51%
Under 2.5
41%
49%
Over 2.5
59%
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
52%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jamshedpur v Shillong — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jamshedpur
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shillong
EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
4
370 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
281 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Jamshedpur vs Shillong
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jamshedpur saw off Shillong 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Jamshedpur as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs Shillong?
Jamshedpur 2-0 Shillong in the India - Super Cup on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs Shillong?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jamshedpur win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 49%, draw 28%, Shillong 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jamshedpur), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Jamshedpur)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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20 Jan 2024