Ajax (K) 6-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 20 Jan 2024

Ajax (K)
6-1 HT 4-0
Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Ajax (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.16
Draw
14%
7.78
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
82%
-12.5pp
14%
Draw
10%
+3.8pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+8.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax (K) v Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ajax (K) 6-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
6-1
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) ran out comfortable winners over Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 6-1. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 71% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 29%, shots finished 20-5.

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Ajax (K) 6-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 70%, draw 14%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 16%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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