Mwatate United 5-1 Vihiga United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Super League, 20 Jan 2024

Mwatate United
5-1
Vihiga United
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Kenya - Super League – 2023/2024

Mwatate United vs Vihiga United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
27%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
Over
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
41%
4-5
19%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
27%
Away Win
17%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mwatate United v Vihiga United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mwatate United The Market 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Vihiga United The Market 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Mwatate United vs Vihiga United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mwatate United swept aside Vihiga United 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mwatate United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mwatate United vs Vihiga United?

Mwatate United 5-1 Vihiga United in the Kenya - Super League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mwatate United vs Vihiga United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mwatate United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mwatate United 47%, draw 26%, Vihiga United 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mwatate United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mwatate United) ✗ BTTS No
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