20/01/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Gor Mahia vs Tusker Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
13%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
31%
Draw
29%
36%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gor Mahia v Tusker — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Gor Mahia
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Tusker
EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
47%
Ball Possession
53%
12
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
282 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
363 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Gor Mahia vs Tusker Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Gor Mahia
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Tusker
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
6
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
09.04.2022
Tusker
0-0
Gor Mahia
KEN2
0-0
Gor Mahia
KEN2
Gor Mahia 1-0 Tusker — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Gor Mahia
1-0
AWAY
Tusker
46%
Ball Possession
54%
12
Total Shots
7
4
Shots on Target
1
3
Corners
6
POST-MATCH
Gor Mahia vs Tusker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gor Mahia squeezed past Tusker 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Gor Mahia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Gor Mahia had 46% of the ball to Tusker's 54%, shots finished 12-7.
What was the final score of Gor Mahia vs Tusker?
Gor Mahia 1-0 Tusker in the Kenya - Premier League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gor Mahia vs Tusker?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gor Mahia 33%, draw 31%, Tusker 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tusker), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Tusker)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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