Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
19%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.16
No
64%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
49%
+3.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
19%
Away Win
23%
-3.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-5.6pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.40/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.18
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
21.7 Crosses 15.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
344 Passes 267
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
04.02.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 3-1 HT 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
21.11.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 3-0 HT 2-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
08.03.2021 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 3-2 HT 3-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
14.11.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
01.09.2019 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 1-1 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
0-1
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.90 xG 0.37
61% Ball Possession 39%
35 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
333 Passes 199
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
41 Box Touches 9
51 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaguares De Cordoba edged past Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Patriotas Boyaca at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 61% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 39%, shots finished 35-4, expected goals 1.90 to 0.37 — the balance of chances actually favoured Patriotas Boyaca.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 1.17 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Patriotas Boyaca 0-1 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patriotas Boyaca win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 52%, draw 29%, Jaguares De Cordoba 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Patriotas Boyaca) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patriotas Boyaca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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