AEL Limassol vs Ethnikos Achna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AEL Limassol v Ethnikos Achna — Team-Based Signals
AEL Limassol 1-1 Ethnikos Achna — Actual Match Statistics
AEL Limassol and Ethnikos Achna shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had AEL Limassol at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, AEL Limassol had 59% of the ball to Ethnikos Achna's 41%, shots finished 11-10.
What was the final score of AEL Limassol vs Ethnikos Achna?
AEL Limassol 1-1 Ethnikos Achna in the Cyprus Rum Kesimi - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AEL Limassol vs Ethnikos Achna?
Before kick-off our model rated a AEL Limassol win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AEL Limassol 58%, draw 15%, Ethnikos Achna 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.