AEL Limassol vs Ethnikos Achna Prediction — Model Probabilities
AEL Limassol 1-1 Ethnikos Achna — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left AEL Limassol and Ethnikos Achna with a point apiece.
File this under upsets: a 55% lean on AEL Limassol went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 52% and both teams to score at 49%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: AEL Limassol had 59% of the ball to Ethnikos Achna's 41%, shots finished 11-10.
AEL Limassol vs Ethnikos Achna Result & Final Score
AEL Limassol 1 - 1 Ethnikos Achna in the Cyprus - First Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
AEL Limassol vs Ethnikos Achna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a AEL Limassol win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split AEL Limassol 55%, draw 23%, Ethnikos Achna 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.