20/01/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-4
2nd Score
0-3
Fgura United vs Swieqi United Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
24%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
25%
Draw
28%
45%
Away Win
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fgura United v Swieqi United — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Fgura United
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Swieqi United
EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
49%
Ball Possession
51%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
344 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
394 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Fgura United vs Swieqi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Swieqi United saw off Fgura United 3-1 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Swieqi United as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Fgura United vs Swieqi United?
Fgura United 1-3 Swieqi United in the Malta - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fgura United vs Swieqi United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Swieqi United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Fgura United 30%, draw 25%, Swieqi United 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swieqi United), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Swieqi United)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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20 Jan 2024