Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Nacional Asuncion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 20 Jan 2024

Sportivo Ameliano
1-0 HT 0-0
Nacional Asuncion
📅20/01/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Paraguay - Profesyonel League – 2024

Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
27%
+5.0pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sportivo Ameliano v Nacional Asuncion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.17/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.10
+1% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
236 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.10.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 2-1 HT 2-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
12.08.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
06.05.2023 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 1-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
25.02.2023 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
09.11.2022 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 0-2 HT 0-0 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
11.09.2022 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 HT 0-0 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR

Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Nacional Asuncion — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Ameliano
1-0
AWAY Nacional Asuncion
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Ameliano nicked a narrow win over Nacional Asuncion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sportivo Ameliano found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 45% of the ball to Nacional Asuncion's 55%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportivo Ameliano and 0.83 for Nacional Asuncion.

What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?

Sportivo Ameliano 1-0 Nacional Asuncion in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Nacional Asuncion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 31%, draw 32%, Nacional Asuncion 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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