Mbeya City 4-2 Mbeya Kwanza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tanzanya - 1st Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.42
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No Pick
63%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
49%
4-5
17%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.5pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbeya City The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Mbeya Kwanza The Market 17%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-50% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mbeya City
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mbeya Kwanza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.03.2022 Mbeya Kwanza 0-0 Mbeya City Mbeya City Tanzanya - Kuu Bara Ligi
POST-MATCH Mbeya City vs Mbeya Kwanza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbeya City got the better of Mbeya Kwanza 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mbeya City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mbeya City vs Mbeya Kwanza?

Mbeya City 4-2 Mbeya Kwanza in the Tanzanya - 1st Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbeya City vs Mbeya Kwanza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mbeya City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mbeya City 53%, draw 25%, Mbeya Kwanza 23%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mbeya City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mbeya City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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