Nakhon Si Thammarat 3-1 Rayong FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 2nd Division, 20 Jan 2024

📅20/01/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.5pp
23%
Draw
19%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nakhon Si Thammarat EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayong FC EU Bookmakers 16%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.74/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.34
-6% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nakhon Si Thammarat
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Rayong FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.03.2023 Nakhon Si Thammarat Nakhon Si Thammarat 1-3 HT 1-0 Rayong FC TAY1
12.11.2022 Rayong FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Nakhon Si Thammarat Nakhon Si Thammarat TAY1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nakhon Si Thammarat
3-1
AWAY Rayong FC
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Rayong FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Si Thammarat saw off Rayong FC 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nakhon Si Thammarat as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Nakhon Si Thammarat had 49% of the ball to Rayong FC's 51%, shots finished 18-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rayong FC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nakhon Si Thammarat and 2.00 for Rayong FC.

What was the final score of Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Rayong FC?

Nakhon Si Thammarat 3-1 Rayong FC in the Thailand - 2nd Division on 20/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nakhon Si Thammarat vs Rayong FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nakhon Si Thammarat win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Nakhon Si Thammarat 54%, draw 23%, Rayong FC 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nakhon Si Thammarat) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nakhon Si Thammarat) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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