Cambridge United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 20 Feb 2024

Cambridge United
1-2 HT 1-0
Bolton Wanderers
📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Cambridge United vs Bolton Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.73
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 36% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.78
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
6%
14.0
X/1
15%
6.24
X/2
16%
4.7
X/X
11%
4.13
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.22
2/X
10%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.1pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cambridge United v Bolton Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambridge United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolton Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.09/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.03
-15% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
247 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 70%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
18.8 Crosses 14.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Cambridge United vs Bolton Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambridge United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.63 xG 1.22
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
187 Passes 366
62% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.04.2023 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
12.11.2022 Cambridge United Cambridge United 0-0 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
01.02.2022 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN1
28.08.2021 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-0 HT 1-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN1
09.03.2021 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers 2-1 HT 2-0 Cambridge United Cambridge United İN2
24.10.2020 Cambridge United Cambridge United 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers İN2

Cambridge United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambridge United
1-2
AWAY Bolton Wanderers
0.31 xG 1.37
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
140 Passes 421
54% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cambridge United vs Bolton Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolton Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Cambridge United 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Bolton Wanderers made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cambridge United had 33% of the ball to Bolton Wanderers's 67%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.31 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolton Wanderers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cambridge United and 1.00 for Bolton Wanderers.

What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Cambridge United 1-2 Bolton Wanderers in the England - 1st Division on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambridge United vs Bolton Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bolton Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cambridge United 35%, draw 27%, Bolton Wanderers 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolton Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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