Leiston 2-1 Halesowen Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.63
No
42%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-8.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.4pp
42%
BTTS No
43%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Halesowen Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+14% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.64/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.75
+4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Halesowen Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
05.08.2023 Halesowen Town Halesowen Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiston
2-1
AWAY Halesowen Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Halesowen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston edged past Halesowen Town 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and on the day Leiston made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Leiston had 52% of the ball to Halesowen Town's 48%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Halesowen Town?

Leiston 2-1 Halesowen Town in the England - Non League Premier on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Halesowen Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Halesowen Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leiston 31%, draw 29%, Halesowen Town 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Halesowen Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Halesowen Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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