Blackpool 0-3 Peterborough United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.11
6+ Goals
11%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.0 — our 28% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.46
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.57
X/2
16%
5.89
X/X
11%
4.97
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
13%
3.75
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blackpool EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Peterborough United EU Bookmakers 39%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.23/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.45
-34% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +59%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
293 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 69%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
16.6 Crosses 12.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blackpool
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Peterborough United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.41 xG 1.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
287 Passes 413
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.02.2024 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-2 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
28.10.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 2-4 HT 0-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
07.05.2022 Peterborough United Peterborough United 5-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNCL
18.12.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 3-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İNCL
23.03.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 3-1 HT 1-1 Peterborough United Peterborough United İN1
21.11.2020 Peterborough United Peterborough United 1-2 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blackpool
0-3
AWAY Peterborough United
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 17
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Blackpool vs Peterborough United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough United cruised past Blackpool 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Peterborough United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Blackpool had 36% of the ball to Peterborough United's 64%, shots finished 12-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Blackpool and 2.17 for Peterborough United.

What was the final score of Blackpool vs Peterborough United?

Blackpool 0-3 Peterborough United in the England - Futbol League Cup on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blackpool vs Peterborough United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Blackpool 39%, draw 25%, Peterborough United 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blackpool) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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